Published November 1, 2026 in Market Update

Part of 500k+ is still moving fast despite higher national rates

By Jeremy Tolley
Real estate, 500k+

Realtor.com reported that mortgage rates climbed above 7% for the first time since January 2025. That headline sounds rough. But here's what I'm seeing locally.

Pending sales across 500k+ area, three months ending August 31, 2026
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 1,112 pending sales across this market for the three months ending August 31, 2026. That's real demand. Buyers are still signing contracts.

Not every corner of this market reads the same, though. Some ZIP codes are moving in days. Others are sitting longer. Let me show you the spread.

How fast are homes going under contract?

This is the number I watch most. It tells you whether buyers are ready to commit the moment a home hits the market.

Share of homes under contract within two weeks of listing
Stewartstown (17363)80%Mount Wolf (17347)70%Airville (17302)66.7%Dover (17315)65.8%Springettsbury Twp area (17406)66.4%Manchester (17345)63.9%Spring Garden Twp area (17402)63.3%Red Lion (17356)58.6%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026. Eight ZIP codes shown. Stewartstown led at 80%, up 30 points from a year before.

Stewartstown's 80% is the standout. The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows that figure jumped 30 points from the same three months in 2025. That's a big shift.

Mount Wolf came in at 70%. Airville at 66.7%. Dover at 65.8%. These are not slow markets.

Median days on market by ZIP

Speed on the clock confirms what the contract rate shows. Most of these ZIP codes are selling in under two weeks.

Median days on market, three months ending August 31, 2026
Mount Wolf (17347)5 daysFelton (17322)6 daysSpring Garden Twp area (17402)6 daysDover (17315)7 daysSpringettsbury Twp area (17406)7 daysStewartstown (17363)8 daysSpring Garden Twp area (17408)8 daysRed Lion (17356)8 days
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Lower is faster. Mount Wolf led at 5 days, 5 days shorter than a year before.

Mount Wolf's median dropped to 5 days. That's 5 days shorter than the same period last year, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Dover cut 7 days off its median. Stewartstown cut 10.

A couple of ZIP codes moved the other direction. Windsor (17366) sat at 36 days, up 27 days from a year ago. Glen Rock (17327) came in at 16 days. Seven Valleys (17360) at 24. Not every home sold fast, and that's worth knowing before you price.

What sellers actually got at closing

Sale-to-list ratio tells you whether buyers are paying asking price, above it, or below it.

Average sale price as a share of list price, select ZIP codes
Windsor (17366)
Highest in the group, up 3.1 points
Spring Garden Twp area (17402)
Unchanged from a year before
Springettsbury Twp area (17406)
Down 0.8 points
Stewartstown (17363)
Up 0.8 points
Glen Rock (17327)
Down 2.3 points
Source: Real Estate Data Aggregator, the three months ending August 31, 2026

Windsor's 105% stands out. The Real Estate Data Aggregator shows sellers there got 3.1 points more than a year ago, even as days on market climbed. That's a small number of sales, so read it carefully.

Spring Garden Township area (17402) held steady at 102.7%, unchanged from last year. More than half of homes there, 56.5%, sold above list price. That's up 10.1 points, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator.

The national picture, and why it matters here

Realtor.com reported that 20.8% of listings nationally took a price cut in September 2026. That's the highest share since October 2022. Nationally, active listings topped 1.16 million homes.

The Federal Housing Finance Agency reported U.S. home prices rose 2.4% from August 2025 to August 2026. Month to month, prices rose 0.3% in August, seasonally adjusted.

Our local numbers are more active than the national trend suggests. The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 1,128 homes sold across this market for the three months ending August 31, 2026, with 542 homes for sale and 1,241 new listings.

Pending sales: who gained, who pulled back

Pending sales show where buyer interest is building and where it cooled a little.

Change in pending sales vs. same period 2025
Manchester (17345)28.6%Spring Garden Twp area (17402)22%Felton (17322)40%Spring Garden Twp area (17408)9.6%Springettsbury Twp area (17406)7%Spring Garden Twp area (17404)10.1%Dover (17315)-18.4%Stewartstown (17363)-12.5%
Real Estate Data Aggregator, three months ending August 31, 2026 vs. same three months of 2025. Felton led gains at 40%. Dover saw the steepest drop at 18.4%.

Felton's pending sales jumped 40%, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Manchester was up 28.6%. Spring Garden Township area (17402) gained 22%.

Dover pulled back 18.4%. Stewartstown dropped 12.5%. York City area (17401) fell 11.3%. Demand shifted, it didn't disappear.

Months of supply: how tight is inventory?

Low months of supply means fewer choices for buyers and more leverage for sellers. Most of these ZIP codes are well below two months.

Months of supply, three months ending August 31, 2026
  1. 1Spring Garden Twp area (17402)0.8 months
  2. 2Stewartstown (17363)0.8 months
  3. 3Mount Wolf (17347)0.9 months
  4. 4New Park (17352)1 months
  5. 5Seven Valleys (17360)1.1 months
  6. 6Manchester (17345)1.1 months
  7. 7Springettsbury Twp area (17406)1.1 months
  8. 8Felton (17322)1.3 months
Real Estate Data Aggregator. Lower months of supply means tighter inventory. Spring Garden Twp area (17402) and Stewartstown tied for tightest at 0.8 months.

Spring Garden Township area (17402) and Stewartstown each sat at 0.8 months. Mount Wolf at 0.9. That's thin. York City area (17401) was the loosest at 2.5 months, with Airville at 3.1.

In short
  1. Rates above 7% are real, but so are 1,112 pending sales.
  2. Most ZIP codes in this market are selling in under two weeks, and inventory stays tight in most of them.
  3. A few spots are softer, and pricing there matters more.
  4. One street can read very differently from the ZIP code around it.

Your next step

(717) 814-7519

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Where these numbers came from
Jeremy Tolley
Keller Williams Keystone · (717) 814-7519 · JeremyTolley@kw.com
Privacy policyTerms of useDo not sell or share my informationAccessibility statementFair housing notice
Jeremy Tolley is a licensed real estate agent with Keller Williams Keystone (license #RB066690), license #RS346267. Market numbers come from MLS records and are believed accurate but not guaranteed. Nothing on this site is an appraisal or a promise of value. If your home is already listed with another broker, this is not a solicitation.
© 2026 Jeremy Tolley · Keller Williams KeystoneEQUAL HOUSING OPPORTUNITY